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  • Guest Column Investment idea for today’s times: Decent returns, safety and guarantee

    Investment idea for today’s times: Decent returns, safety and guarantee

    Why guaranteed return products offered by life insurers deserve a place in clients’ investment portfolio.
    Deepak Jaggi Jul 31, 2020

    In today’s times, when you sit down to do your clients’ investment allocation, you are hard pressed for choice.

    • Equity markets are volatile. Though the market has recovered from the bottom touched in March, it has run ahead of fundamentals and another round of correction is possible.
    • In the debt market, the rally has happened. Portfolio yield of debt mutual funds are on the lower side. Yields on tax-free PSU bonds are less than 4.5%. Bank FD rates have dipped; SBI 1-year deposit rate is 5.1%.
    • Real estate appreciation would be difficult as economic recovery would be slow.
    • Gold has given handsome returns in the recent past, but there is no guarantee how much it would yield from these levels.
    • Commodities are specialized investments, not easily accessible to all investors.

     

    In this situation, can we offer a product that cuts through all the uncertainties, gives our clients a guarantee onreturns and a handsome return?Let us look at the most common options in the market today:

    Product

    Return expectation

    Taxation

    Remarks

    Equity

    On the higher side, but highly volatile

    Holding period more than 1 year, 10%

    Allocate for long term only

    Debt MF

    6% to 7%

    Holding period more than 3 years, 20% after indexation

    Funds for all horizons

    Tax-free PSU bonds

    Post rally, yields are less than 4.5%

    Coupons are tax-free

    Safe

    Bank deposits

    Interest rates have come down

    Marginal rate, 30% plus surcharge and cess

    SBI 1-year 5.1%. Other banks may offer higher rates, but if rates are too high, safety is a question

    Gold

    Moderate over long term, high in times of uncertainty

    SGB tax-free if held till maturity, MFs taxed like debt

    Suitable only for a small allocation

    Real estate

    Low, due to challenges on the economy

    Holding period more than 2 years, 20% with indexation

    Illiquid

    Guaranteed income/return products

    High returns, known upfront

    Maturity exempt under Section 10(10D) provided sum assured is 10 times of premium per year. Plus, you get tax benefit on investments U/s 80C

    Lock-in the returns, known upfront. You also knowthe time horizon to invest,  hence plan accordingly

    As you can see, guaranteed-return insurance products score well in all regards. Moreover,IRDAIlooks at the solvency margin of the insurance company and ensures they maintain it at adequate level.

    While there are multiple products available, we highlight a few select ones.

     

    Explanation

    The premium amount is taken for illustration purposes. For explanation purposes, let us say your clients contribute Rs.1 crore per year in ICICI Assured Savings Investment Plan for 7 years, which is referred to as the premium paying term (PPT). The amount of money they pay is Rs 1 crorex 7 = Rs 7 crore.

    Though they pay premium for 7 years, the policy term (PT) is 15 years. That is, they lock in today’s returns for 15 years and if returns go down in future, as interest rates are coming down, theywill not be impacted.

    At the end of 15 years, their fund value will be Rs12.79 crore. On top of it, they get insurance coverage of 10 times or more.

    The tax-free rate of return is 4.89% annualized. This has been grossed up in the adjacent column (7.52%) for comparison purposes as other avenues like bank deposits are taxable. The rate used for grossing up the return is for individuals at a higher tax bracket, 30% plus surcharge and cess.

    The products with relatively higher returns are Bajaj Guaranteed Income Goal (GIG) 5.79% / 8.91%, HDFC Sanchay Plus 5.68% / 8.74%, Tata AIA Guaranteed Return Insurance Plan offering 5.32% / 8.18%. (Post tax returns/pre tax returns)

    Returns shown are net of all expenses.

    Comparison with tax-free PSU bonds

     

    Insurance tax-free

    Tax-free PSU bond

    Uptick per year

    ICICI Assured Savings Insurance Plan

    4.89%

    4.4%

    0.49%

    Tata AIA Guaranteed Return Insurance Plan

    5.32%

    4.4%

    0.92%

    Bajaj Guaranteed Income Goal

    5.79%

    4.4%

    1.39%

    HDFC Sanchay Plus

    5.68%

    4.4%

    1.28%

    The uptick per year compounds over the period of the product, which is the policy term of 12 to 40 years.

    Conclusion

    We position guaranteed insurance products over debt mutual fund products and direct bonds, over the requisite horizon. For shorter investment horizon, we recommend debt mutual fund products.

    Deepak Jaggi is Co-founder and Managing Director at Satco Wealth Managers.The views expressed in this article are solely of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cafemutual.

    Have a query or a doubt?
    Need a clarification or more information on an issue?
    Cafemutual welcomes all mutual fund and insurance related questions. So write in to us at newsdesk@cafemutual.com

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    17 Comments
    Bina Gohokar · 4 years ago `
    Very knowledgeable n informative. Whatever information shared is the need of the hour
    Vinit · 4 years ago `
    Well articulated Deepak, most people miss the fact that it's impossible to beat market performance for very long periods of time. For a financial plan to work stable/predictable returns are far more important than higher returns(alpha).
    Rajneesh · 4 years ago `
    Very well structured and nicely explained... This perspective would definitely help me in finalizing my fixed income investments
    Manoj Chanchlani · 4 years ago `
    Great read, it's need of the hour,
    Yash Mohan Prasad · 4 years ago `
    Very pithy article. Facilely explained and am sire that for discerning ones it can be a very helpful guide during these transient times.
    Top class, indeed!
    35275 · 4 years ago `
    Nice Article on wealth management Sir. Informative and different perspective.
    Prem · 4 years ago `
    Dear Deepak,

    Your view is absolutely spot on and It’s a very well articulated. For an investment horizon of over 10 years+ For conservative portfolios I think it makes sense.

    Regards,
    VAISHNAW · 4 years ago `
    Thanks for the insight . Explained well
    B.S.SHEKAR · 4 years ago `
    Very well explained and informative
    Deepaq V Vartak · 4 years ago `
    Great analysis and very well presented..
    Dhairya Gangwani · 4 years ago `
    Very informative and well put.
    Swati Maheshwari · 4 years ago `
    Thats wonderful expressed and explained Sir.
    Clear explanation with facts and statistics.
    Krishan · 4 years ago `
    When I started working in 1996 PPF was giving 13%... Today it is closer to half... Next 20 years... Non par products will be gold..
    Alok · 4 years ago `
    Thanks for sharing for insights Deepak. Always a pleasure to hear / read them.
    Alok · 4 years ago `
    Thanks for sharing your insights Deepak. Always a pleasure to hear / read them.
    Saravjit Sandhu · 4 years ago `
    Very well explained sir. In these turbulent and uncertain times, I think decent returns, safety and guarantee will be on top of the mind of the clients.
    Sajeel Arsal · 4 years ago `
    Very well explained article . Crisp and easy language which can be easily comprehend and understood by common investor. Examples with accurate calculations clearly place long term guaranteed insurance products as a best debt investment options.
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