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  • MF News ‘There is 50% chance of getting 14% return from equity funds through SIPs’

    ‘There is 50% chance of getting 14% return from equity funds through SIPs’

    Odds of earning more than 12% annualised returns from equity SIP stands at more than 70% in 10 years, shows a research study.
    Sridhar Kumar Sahu Mar 2, 2020

    The chances of getting more than 14% annualised returns from equity SIP is nearly 50% in 10 years, shows a research report published in PMSKart newsletter.

    This is yet another research that substantiates the claim ‘Mutual funds sahi hai’. Last year, a report by CRISIL and AMFI showed that the chances of getting negative returns from investments in mutual funds through SIP route diminishes to nil from fifth year onwards.

    Further, this research shows that there is more than 70% probability that an investor will get more than 12% return from equity SIP. The odds keep improving as investors lower their return expectations. For instance, chances of getting more than 10% returns is nearly 95% in 10 years and close to 100% odds of getting more than 8% return in 10 years. 

    Krushi Parekh, Senior Research Analyst, MultiAct Equity Consultancy first published these findings in PMSKart newsletter. The research takes into account growth option of MF schemes and is based on available data since July 1999.

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    4 Comments
    Prabir · 4 years ago `
    Last 13 years SIP return is 11%. There is nothing wrong with this 11%, 9% or 8%. Problem is that, when our adviser taking a certain assumption for a particular goal and SIP doesn't generate such type returns. Like, If I archive my goal @15% in 15 Years and I get 13% return after 15 years! So how could archive my goal?
    Ashish Chauhan · 4 years ago
    These assumptions possibly are made by taking average of categories of MFs. But if you are invested in a good MF returns can be high & that is where advisor role comes in selecting the best for the client.
    Reply
    Prakash Ranjan Sinha · 4 years ago `
    We can pass some judgement on past based on historical performance but how correct that will be going forward difficult to say . trend can be correct but not the quantum. Average retention increasing , quick flow of information through net clearing doubts , perception toward money changing ( invest or spend to enjoy life ) etc are some factors which were missing a decade back .
    Ashish Chauhan · 4 years ago `
    These assumptions possibly are made by taking average of categories of MFs. But if you are invested in a good MF returns can be high & that is where advisor role comes in selecting the best for the client.
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